You are asked to rate how likely it is that a student, Steve, will pass an upcoming exam. You are told that, in the past, the "pass" rate for this exam is 30%. Which of the following statements about your rating is MOST LIKELY to be true? You will: a) use base rates in your decision.
b) imply a cause-and-effect relationship between the pass rate and the student being judged.
c) say the chance of the student passing is 0.8.
d) ignore the base-rate information.

Read the paragraph and answer the question that follows: the town of belmond, iowa, needs to add weather sirens. the loud and steady wail would warn citizens of approaching danger. if past history is an indication, the sirens will save hundreds of lives. with a prediction of a deadly storm season, the alert which sentence should be revised to eliminate redundancy? the town of belmond, iowa, needs to add weather sirens. the loud and steady wail would warn citizens of approaching danger. if past history is an indication, the sirens will save hundreds of lives. with a prediction of a deadly storm season, the alert system is needed immediately.