The star basketball player at your high school claims to make 50% of his three-point shots. Recently, he missed 7 of his first 10 three-point shots. Is this surprising for this player? Assume that the player is, in fact, able to make 50% of
his three-point shots. We need to carry out a simulation to estimate the probability that he would miss 7 or more of his
first 10 three-point shots.
Here are the results of 100 simulated trials. Which of the following answers the question of interest?
The player's true three-point success rate is actually only 18%, according to this simulation.
O Based on the 100 simulated trials, there is about an 18% chance of the player missing 7 of his first 10 three-point
shots. This probability is not unusually low, so it is not unlikely.
O Based on the 100 simulated trials, it is more likely that the player would make 5 or 6 out of every 10 three-point
shots.
In a very long series of trials, this player should make approximately 50% of his shots. He must have been having
an off day