Problem 1.23. The San Francisco football team plays better in fair weather. They have a 70% chance of winning in good weather but only a 20% chance of winning in bad weather. (a) If they play in the Super Bowl in Wisconsin and the weatherman predicts a 60% chance of snow that day, what is the probability that San Francisco will win. (b) Given that San Francisco lost, what is the probability that the weather was bad

show us the picture

step-by-step explanation:

show the !

isaiah walks 3 miles due north, turns and then 5 miles due east. how far is he from his starting point?

a^2 + b^2 = c^2

let c = distance from starting point.

(3)^2 + (5)^2 = c^2

9 + 25 = c^2

34 = c^2

sqrt{34} = sqrt{c^2}

sqrt{34} = c

irst, find the z score of a score of 80. this is given by the formula z = (x-u)/o, where x is the score, u is the mean, and o is the standard deviation. this gives

z = (80-78)/12 = 1/6 = .1667

now, find what percentile a z score of 1/6 correlates to in the normal distribution.

a z score of 1/6 = .1667 is equivalent to the 56.36th percentile of the distribution. so the probability a score is over this is 1-.5636 = .4364

the mean of a sample mean is equal to the original mean. however, the standard deviation of a sample mean is equal to the original standard deviation divided by the square root of n (sample size). so the new standard deviation is 12/sqrt(16) = 3.

the new z score is 80-78/3 = 2/3 = .667. this is equivalent to the 74.86th percentile. so the probability that the mean will be greater than this score is 1-.7486 = .2514.

yes they are the same