How would the connotation have changed if Orwell had
used "watched"?

The word “scrutinized” suggests that the government is not just idly watching the movements of its citizens, it is actively looking and picking apart everything they do to watch for any sort of infraction. The word “watched” would have had a much less ominous, as well as less active, feeling.

d.) then bernice winced as marjorie tossed her own hair over her shoulders and began to twist it slowly into two long blond braids until in her cream-colored negligée she looked like a delicate painting of some saxon princess. fascinated, bernice watched the braids grow. heavy and luxurious they were, moving under the supple fingers like restive snakes—and to bernice remained this relic and the curling iron and a to-morrow full of eyes.

i would say that these are the two thesis statements best for a literary analysis essay on recurring themes in shakespeare's romeo and juliet:

1.  in romeo and juliet, shakespeare demonstrates that love comes in a variety of forms, be it romantic, familial, or between friends.

2.  shakespeare explores the struggle for identity through the character of juliet in his play romeo and juliet.

the other theses aren't reoccurring in this play. 

explanation: