Two astronomers in different parts of the world make measurements M1 and M2 of the number of stars N in some small region of the sky, using their telescopes. Normally, there is a small possibility e of error by up to one star in each direction. Each telescope can also (with a much smaller probability f) be badly out of focus (events F1 and F2), in which case the scientist will undercount by three or more stars (or if N is less than 3, fail to detect any stars at all).What is Pr(N=i | M1=1 and M2=3)? (Make reasonable assumptions about Pr(N) If needed.)

Anew author is in the process of negotiating a contract for a new romance novel. the publisher is offering three options. in the first option, the author is paid $5,000 upon delivery of the final manuscript and $20,000 when the novel is published. in the second option, the author is paid 12.5% of the net price of the novel for each copy of the novel sold. in the third option, the author is paid 10% of the net price for the first 4,000 copies sold, and 14% of the net price for the copies sold over 4,000. the author has some idea about the number of copies that will be sold and would like to have an estimate of the royal- ties generated under each option. write a program that prompts the author to enter the net price of each copy of the novel and the estimated number of copies that will be sold. the program then outputs he royalties under each option and the best option the author could choose. (use appropriate named constants to store the special values such as royalty rates and fixed royalties.