For each of the following scenarios, please decide whether there will be an increase or decrease in short-run aggregate supply, or if there will be no change. 1. Although the economy is healthy, there is an increase in the natural rate of unemployment.
2. The price of lumber, a commodity, rises drastically due to the effect of heavy winter weather in the American Northwest, where much of the world's lumber is grown.
3. The production of a new type of blade for their combine harvesters, a tractor used to harvest crops, has allowed wheat farmers, like Herbert, to increase productivity by 40%.

1. consider a two-firm industry. firm 1 (the incumbent) chooses a level of output qı. firm 2 (the potential entrant) observes qı and then chooses its level of output q2. the demand for the product is p 100 q, where q is the total output sold by the two firms which equals qi +q2. assume that the marginal cost of each firm is zero. a) find the subgame perfect equilibrium levels of qi and q2 keeping in mind that firm 1 chooses qi first and firm 2 observes qi and chooses its q2. find the profits of the two firms-n1 and t2- in the subgame perfect equilibrium. how do these numbers differ from the cournot equilibrium? b) for what level of qi would firm 2 be deterred from entering? would a rational firm 1 have an incentive to choose this level of qi? which entry condition does this market have: blockaded, deterred, or accommodated? now suppose that firm 2 has to incur a fixed cost of entry, f> 0. c) for what values of f will entry be blockaded? d) find out the entry deterring level of q, denoted by q1', a expression for firm l's profit, when entry is deterred, as a function of f. for what values of f would firm 1 use an entry deterring strategy?