Hull Consultants, a famous think tank in the Midwest, has provided probability estimates for the four potential economic states for the coming year. The probability of a boom economy is 14%, the probability of a stable growth economy is 17%, the probability of a stagnant economy is 48%, and the probability of a recession is 21%. Estimate the expected returns on the following individual investments for the coming year.
Investment /Forecasted Returns for Boom Economy/ Forecasted Returns for Stable Growth Economy /Forecasted Returns for Stagnant Economy /Forecasted Returns for Recession Economy
Stock /29% /15% /2% /-15%
Corporate bond /9% /7% /5% /4%
Government bond /8% /6% /4% /3%
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