Three political polls have recently been taken on the election race for mayor between Smith and Jones. Results are shown in the following table.
Poll Smith Jones
#1
47%
44%
#2 42%
45%
#3
49%
47%
Which of these statements is most likely to be true based on the table?
Smith is winning by four or five percentage points.
Jones is winning by one or two percentage points.
Neither Jones nor Smith would make a good mayor.
Neither Jones nor Smith has yet received 50% of the vote.