Advanced Placement (AP)

Pew Research found that, in 2013, 50% of American adults favored allowing same-sex couples to marry legally. This is up from 48% in 2012. The 2013 estimate was based on a random sample of 1,501 adults. Assume the same sample size was used in 2012. ["Changing Attitudes on Gay Marriage," Pew Internet and American Life Project, June 2013.) 1. Compute and interpret a 95% confidence interval for the difference in the proportion of all American adults who favor allowing same-sex couples to marry. 2. What is meant by the phrase "95% confident" in this context? 3. Does this interval provide evidence that the proportion of people who favor allowing same-sex couples to marry has increased? 4. Because it is known that support for allowing same-sex couples to marry has been rising, it would be reasonable to perform a one-sided hypothesis test with the alternative hypothesis that the proportion of Americans who favor allowing such marriages is greater in 2013 than 2012. Would such a test cause you to reach the same conclusion you reached in question 3?

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